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University of New Orleans
Finance 1330
Economics 1203

Economics 1203 Internet
Finance 2302
Finance 3300

Tulane University
Finance 254
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Finance 354

Time Value of Money

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Economic Analysis, Industry Analysis, Company Analysis

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STOCKS

At the start of the semester, we studied rates of return, standard deviation and geometric mean of stocks and bonds.  We noticed that stocks have far outpaced and outperformed bonds since 1926 [stocks do not and have not outperformed stocks every year, but they have for most years]. 

Stocks represent ownership in the firm. Stockholders hold an equity interest in the company. Firms raising capital through stock issues are equity financing.

Stockholders have a say in the operation of the company. Not directly, but through electing a Board of Directors who in turn hire management to oversee the business on a daily basis. Directors set policy and help develop operating procedures. One main Board function is to declare dividends and stock splits to stockholders.

Common stocks are the "riskiest type" of corporate security as reflected in the standard deviation of returns. Common stockholders are called residual claimants - they are entitled to what remains of a company after all other claims have been paid in the case of bankruptcy. They are compensated by being offered the greatest opportunity for reward: Dividends and Capital Gains = Total Return.

STOCK VALUES

PAR VALUE Unlike the par value of a bond, the par value of a stock is strictly a legal concept. Most companies issue stock with one cent or even zero as the par value. Bonds have a $1000 par value due to the bond being sold for that amount when issued. Stock, when issued, takes on a market value, what the investment community is willing to pay for the prospects of the company. The par value keeps the attorneys happy when registering the stock with the Securities and Exchange Commission.
BOOK VALUE The  of a company is simply the assets minus liabilities. This is an accounting concept. Much analysis is made using the book value of the firm. But, the price that matters to us as investors is the market price.
MARKET VALUE Price on the stock exchange. Set by supply and demand. This is how much we will pay for ownership in the firm.

 

VOTING RIGHTS

As mentioned above, stockholder, while owners of the firm, do not run the firm on a daily basis.  We exercise our rights of ownership through the election of members of the Board of Directors.  Board members hire management and set policy.  When you own stock, you will eventually get an invitation to the firm's annual stockholder meeting.  Held annually, this meeting provides an opportunity for shareholders to meet, listen to reports given by directors and management of the firm and to cast your vote for Board members.

As an example, a company may have a Board consisting of nine members, each member has a three-year term to serve on the board.  They meet monthly to hear from management, set or change policy, etc.  Each year, this sample board will have three directors coming up for re-election.  Stockholders will be asked to vote on these vacating seats on the board.  Of the three members up for re-election, a fourth person may be on the ballot, running for a seat.  A stockholder owning 100 shares of stock, has 100 votes for each vacant seat on the board, called Ordinary Voting.  If you owned 10,000 shares, you would be able to cast 10,000 votes for each vacant seat.  If you want to take over a company, buy a BUNCH of shares, vote yourself and friends onto the board!  This is the way companies get 'taken over.'

ORDINARY VOTING Stockholder may cast one vote per share owned for each vacancy on the Board of Directors.
CUMULATIVE VOTING Stockholder may accumulate all of his votes and vote for one director. This benefits the small stockholder.  If you own 100 shares, you could 'accumulate' 100 votes for the three vacant seats (a total of 300 votes) and place those votes on one seat.  Stockholders that have a relatively few shares would benefit by having at least one director of their choice on the board.

 

DIVIDENDS and SPLITS

Some companies will pay dividends on their stock.  Dividend theory is a big conversation in finance.  When a company is newly formed, they rarely have the money to pay a cash dividend.  They use what money could be paid out in dividends to help expand the firm and obtain a foothold in the industry.  Firms like Wal-Mart, Home Depot, AOL, Microsoft pay little or no dividend.  Imagine a company like Wal-Mart, that may have 2 billion shares outstanding, that they pay $1 per share per year as a cash dividend.  Wal-Mart management will argue that the $2 billion could better be spent opening new stores, refurbishing existing stores or expanding into other areas of retail, like groceries (Super Wal-Mart).

When a company reaches a stage of maturity and rapid expansion is no longer likely, they will distribute some of their profits back to the stockholders.  General Motors' days of rapid, above average growth rates are probably over.  A firm like GM will pay a dividend per share per year that will yield an amount equal to a savings account at a bank.  For example, if GM stock is trading at $50 per share, an annual cash dividend of about $1 per share would be expected.

 

STOCK SPLITS and BUYBACKS

As a firm's stock increases in price, management will have an idea when they will declare a Stock Split. Put simply, to an existing stockholder a 2:1 (read, "two-for-one") split is like getting two five dollar bills for a ten.  If you own 100 shares at $100 per share before the split, you will have 200 shares at $50 per share after the split.

A split keeps the existing stockholder's position of ownership equal to their position before the split.

A split is done for two reasons: 

First, it puts the shares in a more affordable trading range for the individual investor.  At $100 per share, $10,000 would be required to purchase a round lot of 100 shares.  The individual investor would be encouraged, by a 2:1 (read two-for-one) split and purchase her 100 shares after the split for $5000.  i.e.  the share price "splits" by the ratio of the split.  If you owned 100 shares at $100 per share, after the split, you would have 200 shares worth $50 per share.  If you were not a shareholder at the time of the split, you could buy the shares at the post-split price of $50 per share.

Some companies split their stock 3:1, 4:1, even 5:1. 

The more important reason for a split is that it is a signal by management that the future outlook for the firm looks bright.  NO firm would want to split their stock if they expect the stock price to fall in the future.  During the 1990's, splits were common.  Stock prices were growing at rapid paces and expected to continue to do so, splits of 2:1, 3:1, 4:1 and even 5:1 were being declared.  Dell Computer's stock price increased 4200% between the years 1996 and 1998. Dell stock was splitting every 6 months.  Cisco systems' stock increased 9000% in value within the first 6 years of the company's operation, they declared many splits.

During the year 2000 and 2001, splits were uncommon.  The market was falling, the economy was trying to avoid a recession, and the terrorist attack in New York and Washington prompted news of war.  All together, this made the future of company earnings uncertain.  Wall Street hates uncertainty.  When the market fell the week after the terrorist attack, an unprecedented number of firms were buying back their own stock on the stock exchanges.  This action is encouraging.  Who best knows the direction of the company than the company management?  When management buys back $500 million of their stock as some companies did, the signal was that a bottom was near or that the shares were very under priced.  The buyback also takes the dividend liability from the company as they do not pay dividends on stock that they own.

 

PREFERRED STOCKS

Preferred stocks hold a position of preference between bond holders and common stock holders.  In case of bankruptcy, bond holders get paid first, followed by preferred stock holders, followed by common stock holders.  Because of their position, they share some of the characteristics of both bonds and stocks.
Preferreds look like a stock because: Preferreds look like a bond because:
1. They do represent ownership of the firm.
2.  They are shares of stock.
3.  Sometimes they have voting rights like common stock.
4.  They do not mature.
1.  They have a stated rate of return stamped on the face of the stock, like a bond.
2.  They do not generally share in increased earnings of the firm.
3.  Par value is different from common shares.  Typical par value is $25, $50, $75, $100 per share.
4.  Dividends must be paid to preferred holders before common stockholders get paid any dividend.
5.  They have several issues of preferred stock.
6.  They are rated like bonds.
PARTICIPATING PREFERRED Share in common stock dividends. After preferred holders get their regular dividend, they may share in the common stockholders dividend (if firm declares a common dividend).  These shares 'participate' in the common stock dividend in addition to their own dividend.
CUMULATIVE PREFERRED Dividends in arrears occurs when the company cannot afford to pay dividends to preferred holders. They accumulate the liability "in arrears". When a stock dividend is again declared, arrearages must first be satisfied before common stockholders receive their dividend. Cumulative Preferred: cash dividends accumulate to be paid.
CALL FEATURES Preferred stocks are usually perpetual (no maturity date) but can be called by the firm, just like a bond.

Article on how to buy Preferred Stocks - Click Here
A Preferred Stock Web Source:  www.quantumonline.com

 

TYPES OF STOCKS

Blue Chip - Major firms, strong financial statements. Examples are Exxon, General Electric.
Growth Stocks - Rapid growth companies, reinvesting dividends. Wal-Mart, Home Depot, Google
Cyclical - Earnings move with business cycle. Examples are Auto stocks.
Income - Stable earnings, high dividend yields. Utilities.

ADVANTAGES OF COMMON STOCK OWNERSHIP

Growing Values. Capital gains.
Safety. Matches in quality.
Growing Dividends. Quality companies with increasing dividends.
Liquidity. Stocks traded on major exchanges.

RISKS OF COMMON STOCK OWNERSHIP

Total and permanent loss of capital.
Stock market risk. Stock price subject to market movements.
Interest Rate Risk. Interest rate swings cause stock prices to change rapidly.

Stock Market Performance Chart