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SIVY ON STOCKS from money.com
October 27, 2000
The right way to use stock options
Options trading may be exciting -- but it's usually futile. Here's a
strategy for locking in gains and lifting overall returns that really works.
By Michael Sivy
Buying stock options is a game for losers. Since the market for publicly
traded stock options developed 25 years ago, many individual investors have
tried playing the options market in the hope of making a big score with
little capital.
They might as well be feeding quarters into a slot machine. Just like the
slots, the options market is biased in favor of the house -- and against you.
The value of an option depends on how long it has to run and the volatility
of the stock it's tied to. Call options (giving the holder the right to buy
at a set price by a set time) profit point for point when a stock goes up.
So the more a stock swings and the more time you have until expiration, the
greater the chance it will move in your favor. Put options work the same
way, but in reverse. Their value rises when a stock goes down.
The big attraction of options is that your possible profits are unlimited,
while the most you can lose is the cost of the option. But there's a catch:
Based on volatility and the time remaining before expiration, it's possible
to figure out mathematically what options are really worth -- and they're
usually overpriced. That means that option sellers generally end up winners
over the long term, and buyers end up losers.
There's only one way to shift the odds in your favor -- become a seller
rather than a buyer. That's dangerous if you sell options on a stock you
don't own, because your potential losses are virtually unlimited. But it's
a winning strategy if you use options to increase profits on a stock you do
own.
Say you buy a hot tech stock on a dip, and two months later, it's up 20
percent, from $42 to $50. If you sell the stock at that point, you won't
have much profit left after commissions and taxes. But by selling a call
option on that hot tech stock, you can protect your 20 percent profit and
still have a shot at even bigger gains.
With the stock at $50, you could probably sell a $50 call for $6 or more.
That $6 is yours no matter what. If the share price keeps rising, when the
option expires the stock will be called away from you at $50, so your
effective sell price will be $56 ($50 plus the $6 you sold the call for).
That boosts your capital gain to 33 percent. If the share price goes down,
on the other hand, the option will expire worthless -- but you'll get to
keep the $6. Either way, you have a terrific no-lose deal.
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