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October 18, 2000
How to buy bonds
The stock-picking bug is powerful. But not only do bonds sometimes
outperform, the proper allocation can boost your overall returns.
By Michael Sivy
Even if you're primarily a growth investor, you shouldn't neglect bonds. In
fact, there's a strong case for keeping as much as 25% of your portfolio in
fixed-income investments. Primarily, bonds will greatly limit your losses
in the event of a correction -- during the 1987 crash, for instance, the
S&P 500 plunged 22% in a single day but Treasury-bond prices rose. With
that safety net, you can afford to invest some of your money more
aggressively, which can actually end up boosting your overall profits.
On average, long-term Treasuries have returned only 6% a year compared with 12%
for S&P 500-stocks. But the gap isn't always that big. When stocks
start from very high valuations (like those of the past few years), their
future returns may average only 7% or 8% a year-- and there may be several
years in which stock prices plateau. Similarly, bonds can return a lot more
than 6% if you buy at the right time -- usually right before the economy
slows and interest rates fall, which pushes up bond prices. Here's a look
at the key income choices.
Treasury bonds are fully backed by the U.S. government, so the chance of
default is nonexistent. Prices may rise and fall, but all interest payments
will be made on time. Another plus is that those payments are exempt from
state and local taxes. The bonds of government agencies, such as the
Tennessee Valley Authority, are nearly as safe as Treasuries and they pay
slightly more. Ginnie Maes, which pass through the interest and principal
payments made on mortgages, also pay more than Treasuries.
Tax-exempt municipal issues are often great buys for people in top tax
brackets. Over the past couple of years, in fact, municipal yields have
been close to Treasury yields even without the tax advantage.
Corporate bonds pay higher yields than government issues, with top-quality
issues generally offering at least a percentage point more than Treasuries.
And low-quality corporates, known as junk bonds, can yield 10% or more.
With higher interest payments, however, comes a greater risk of default, so
it's crucial to diversify.
Once you've settled on the type of bonds your looking for, the chief
question is whether to buy them directly or through mutual funds. Since
fund expenses can be killers, my rule of thumb is to use funds only when
professional management and broad diversification are essential. That's
certainly true for junk and foreign bonds, and usually for munis as well.
Index funds, with their rock-bottom fees, are a valid choice for any type
of bonds. But for Treasuries and other high-grade debt, I prefer direct
purchases through my brokerage account.
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